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Markets12 October 2026By The Financial Buddy Team

Rupee Jumps Over 1% as RBI's Oil Window and Hedging Curbs Cut Dollar Demand

The Indian rupee opened Monday's session more than 1% stronger against the US dollar. It was the first trading test of a package of curbs the Reserve Bank of India announced over the weekend to choke off speculative and recurring dollar demand.

The currency opened at 95.73 per dollar, according to Bloomberg data, compared with Friday's close of 96.76. Interbank quotes showed an even stronger start near 95.61 before the rupee gave back some ground to trade around 95.80 in early deals, still roughly 90 paise to a rupee better than last week's finish.

Why the RBI stepped in

The rupee has been one of Asia's weakest currencies in 2026. It has lost more than 7% over the past year and about 6% since the West Asia conflict began on February 28, under pressure from crude above $100 a barrel, a firm dollar, high global bond yields and weak foreign capital flows. Last week it was drifting back toward the 97 mark.

The weekend package goes after the demand side of that pressure rather than relying only on the central bank selling dollars from its reserves.

What the new rules do

  • A separate dollar window for oil marketers. The daily dollar needs of Indian Oil, BPCL and HPCL will be met through a special RBI window, so those large purchases no longer hit the interbank market.
  • Costlier import hedging. Banks must set aside 20% of the notional rupee value of import-related contracts with the RBI as a foreign exchange risk reserve. That cost is expected to be passed on to importers.
  • Tighter checks on underlying exposure. Banks must verify that the same exposure has not been hedged with another dealer. The limit for derivative trades without documented underlying exposure has been cut sharply, from $100 million to $5 million.
  • No rebooking of cancelled contracts. Rupee derivative contracts cancelled after the rules took effect cannot be rebooked. Dealers say this stops exporters from booking profits on dips and waiting to re-enter at better levels.

Currency analysts describe this as the third round of official action this year. The first, in March and April, limited banks' onshore positions and arbitrage between onshore and offshore markets. The second tried to attract inflows through tax relief, wider foreign access to government bonds and incentives on NRI deposits and overseas borrowing. This round targets hedging behaviour and the steady drain from oil import bills.

Taking state oil companies out of the regular market matters most, analysts say, because their daily requirement is one of the biggest and most predictable sources of dollar demand.

How far can the rally run?

Kotak Neo's currency research team expects a working range of 94 to 97 per dollar for now. It expects the RBI to guard closely against any move back toward 96.50, though it stressed that this is its own reading of the central bank's likely behaviour, not an official ceiling. A sustained move stronger than 94, it added, would need a lasting fall in oil prices and a clear pickup in capital inflows.

Oil gave some help on Monday. Brent crude slipped about 1.7% to around $103 a barrel and US WTI fell nearly 2% to about $90. The dollar, however, remained close to its strongest level in roughly 18 months.

Equities moved less decisively. The Sensex opened about 318 points higher near 72,800 but had slipped to 72,333 by 10 AM, with the Nifty around 22,515, as PSU bank shares weighed on the index.

What it means for households

A stronger rupee lowers the landed cost of imports priced in dollars, including fuel and gold. If the currency holds its gains, domestic bullion prices could get some relief even without a fall in global prices. You can follow daily movements on our gold rate today page.

This is an original summary based on public reporting. See our editorial policy for how we source, write, and correct our stories.

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